SIPTA Online Winter School 2020/2021
Ninth school of the Society for Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (SIPTA)
Online, Winter 2020/2021
Introduction of the course
In a classical textbook a famous physics professor said: “We need to be very certain about what we mean by uncertainty if we want to quantify it”. In physics and engineering uncertainty is often modelled by probability, and calculated using methods from probability theory. But can we be certain about probabilities? What if there was a theory that encompassed probability, but went beyond that. A theory that generalizes probability making it more flexible to accommodate the complexity of the world. Surely if such a theory existed, we would be more certain about what we mean by uncertainty. We would not need to restrict our views to a mathematical model just because say we are comfortable with it. Luckily this theory exists, is called imprecise probability, and is going to revolutionise the way we understand and quantify uncertainty.
December 2020:
Tuesday 8th December:
12-4pm CET (11am-3pm GMT)
Fabio Cozman & Denis Deretani Maua
Credal Networks: Specification, Algorithms, Complexity
Wednesday 9th December:
3-7pm CET (2-6pm GMT)
Glenn Shafer
Game-theoretic foundations for statistical testing and imprecise probabilities
Thursday 10th December:
3-7pm CET (2-6pm GMT)
Glenn Shafer
Game-theoretic foundations for statistical testing and imprecise probabilities
January 2021:
Tuesday 26th January & Wednesday 27th January
1-5pm (GMT)
Ignacio Montes
Introduction to imprecise probability
Wednesday 27th January
3-5pm (GMT)
Thursday 28th January
1-5pm (GMT)
Ryan Martin
Inferential models
February 2021:
Wednesday 10th February
2pm
Seamus Bradley
Expert aggregation
Date TBC
Kari Sentz
Natural language processing and data fusion with information theory
Updated on 27 April 2021
